Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Otto Virtanen Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When it comes to second serve performance over the past six months, Virtanen slightly edges Carabelli, winning 46.79% of points versus Carabelli's 43.92%. Could this give Virtanen a minor advantage?
• Carabelli exhibits superior return game stats, winning 48.17% of opponents' second serve points, surpassing Virtanen's 46.1%. Carabelli also outperforms on first serve returns, with 28.68% compared to Virtanen's 25.74%.
• Under pressure, Virtanen has shown a better ability to save breakpoints, with a success rate of 55.84% versus Carabelli's 52.82%. Is this a critical edge for Virtanen?
• Carabelli exhibits a higher match win percentage over the past year at 63.41%, while Virtanen lags behind at 49.18%.
• Carabelli's best surface is Clay with a win rate of 65%, whereas Virtanen excels on Indoor Hard courts, achieving a 70% win rate.
• Carabelli predominantly competes in Challengers/ITF tournaments, winning 75.51% of matches, while Virtanen plays mainly on the Main tour with a 42.11% win rate.
• Against higher-ranked players, Carabelli's opponents had an average rank of 191.56, compared to Virtanen's 177.02. Does this opposing average rank suggest Virtanen faces tougher competition?
• In matches that reach a deciding set, Carabelli has triumphed 69% of the time, while Virtanen has managed a 57% success rate.
• On the breakpoint conversion front, Carabelli holds an advantage, converting 36.71% of opportunities against Virtanen's 31.18%.

Editorial Prediction (May 14, 2025, UTC):

Both players show competitive strengths, with Virtanen displaying a slight edge in second serve performance and under pressure breakpoint saves. However, Carabelli demonstrates enhanced return game performance and a higher overall match win rate over the past year.

Intriguingly, Carabelli also holds the upper hand in converting breakpoint chances, a vital statistic for influencing match dynamics. Despite Virtanen encountering more high-ranking opponents, this might offer him valuable tactical experience.

Given Carabelli's robust return game and proficiency in crucial match moments such as deciding sets, he is poised as the favorite to win the upcoming match against Virtanen.